July 1, 2010, a press release was published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to inform the public on the statement made by the 2010 Article IV Consultation Mission to Belize. The statement was issued by the chief of the IMF mission to Belize, Mario Garza, in Belmopan.
According to the statement, June 21-July 1, an IMF mission conducted discussions on the 2010 Article IV consultation with Belize. The mission met with Prime Minister Dean Barrow, the government’s economic team, the private sector, and civil society to hold policy discussions that had been focused on the economic outlook for 2010 and the medium term, as well as the Belize government’s macroeconomic strategy.
The statement said: “Economic activity stagnated in 2009, as a result of the global slowdown and the lingering effects from the floods in 2008. Growth has resumed since late 2009, but the recovery is still narrowly based, while inflation appears to be picking up somewhat, driven by the rise in fuel prices. For 2010, the mission expects growth to resume modestly, and export prices and tourist receipts to recover slightly, allowing foreign reserves to stabilize at just over three months of imports of goods and services. Despite the recent tax revenue actions, the overall fiscal deficit is likely to widen in FY2010/11, owing largely to upward pressure on primary current spending and increased investment, while the public debt would remain high. The overall banking system appears liquid and well capitalized, but the mission is concerned about the rise in nonperforming loans (NPLs).”
Strategies aimed to promote sustainable growth and to reduce poverty were the focal point of the consultation discussions. The need to strengthen fiscal and external buffers in order to deal with future shocks was underscored by the mission.
It was also noted in the statement that the IMF mission encouraged the authorities to press ahead with current plans with a view to improve tax and customs administration.
The chief of the IMF mission to Belize said: “In the monetary and banking area, the mission welcomed recent reforms to improve the conduct of monetary policy, by relying more on market-based monetary instruments and further reducing non-remunerated reserve requirements. It encouraged the authorities to advance these reforms, which should help reduce intermediation spreads, while maintaining a disciplined monetary stance. The mission also advised the authorities to remain vigilant in their supervision of domestic and offshore banks, ensure that sufficient provisioning is made to cover NPLs, and further strengthen prudential regulations.”
Upon the IMF mission’s return to Washington, DC, a staff report will be prepared by the mission to be discussed by the IMF Executive Board in early September. The staff report is expected to be published shortly thereafter.